作者:宋靓珺,张晓晨,王铭琪 发布时间:2026-09-29 来源:npj Health systems+收藏本文
摘要:本文利用中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查(CLHLS)2005–2018数据,探讨了医疗保险覆盖对个人离世前最后一年医疗费用的影响。为消除潜在的选择偏差,本文首先运用逻辑回归(Logistic Regression)模型估计了个人使用医疗保险为主要支付的概率,进而通过倾向得分匹配(PSM)对比了是否使用医疗保险为主要支付人群的支出模式。此外,研究还通过城乡和区域子样本分析,进一步考察了医保效应的异质性。研究结果表明,医保的使用导致了医疗费用支出的显著差异,但在长期护理费用方面,各群体间未显现出显著统计学差异。上述研究发现表明,亟须构建一个更加均衡的医疗卫生体系,以缓解因医保覆盖差异所引起的老年人临终医疗照护不平等的严峻社会议题。
The terminal stage of life accounts for a substantial share of healthcare expenditures over the life course. Using data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (2005–2018), this study examines the impact of health insurance coverage on healthcare spending during the last year of life. To address potential selection bias, we first estimate the probability of insurance coverage using logistic regression and then compare expenditure patterns between insured and uninsured populations through propensity score matching. We further conduct rural–urban and regional subgroup analyses to explore heterogeneity in insurance effects. Our results reveal significant differences in medical expenditures associated with insurance utilization, while no significant disparities are observed in nursing care costs across groups. These findings provide new evidence about increasing healthcare spending in a non-Western context, and call for a more balanced health system to reduce inequalities in end-of-life healthcare due to insurance coverage among the elderly.
作者:
宋靓珺,复旦大学发展研究院副教授、硕士生导师
张晓晨(通讯作者),昆山杜克大学社会科学部、全球健康研究中心助理教授
王铭琪,复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院2021届硕士毕业生
期刊介绍:《npj Health Systems》是Nature旗下的一本国际同行评审、开放获取的高水平期刊,聚焦医疗筹资、卫生政策、医疗服务与健康公平等重要议题。我们在该刊发表的研究基于中国老年健康调查数据,系统考察了医疗保险与老年人临终前一年医疗支出之间的关联,为深入理解中国临终医疗保障实践提供了新的实证证据。